Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 2.787125 2.977536 3.180957 3.415574 3.680146 3.970980 4.317253
2025-12-14 2.434396 2.683340 2.963843 3.307086 3.721155 4.211859 4.849002
2025-12-21 2.263054 2.547579 2.880106 3.304550 3.842940 4.519622 5.463809
2025-12-28 2.127209 2.432638 2.799614 3.283684 3.923033 4.767164 6.022014
2026-01-04 1.986676 2.297527 2.678528 3.193385 3.894432 4.856159 6.361189
2026-01-11 1.904354 2.226846 2.630035 3.188397 3.973099 5.094504 6.952395
2026-01-18 1.857974 2.197028 2.629574 3.244015 4.136990 5.471493 7.831332
2026-01-25 1.940153 2.336698 2.859859 3.635925 4.832422 6.773974 10.678116
2026-02-01 1.827725 2.211314 2.721643 3.487080 4.685568 6.674303 10.824036
2026-02-08 1.719893 2.087351 2.579050 3.322211 4.498474 6.481508 10.731873
2026-02-15 1.661571 2.027969 2.523416 3.282801 4.509013 6.638713 11.446151
2026-02-22 1.596986 1.957186 2.448011 3.208145 4.454088 6.667755 11.872965
2026-03-01 1.519209 1.870542 2.353471 3.110280 4.372415 6.675479 12.365762
2026-03-08 1.447054 1.789597 2.264377 3.016940 4.293332 6.684912 12.902479
2026-03-15 1.407154 1.751686 2.235167 3.014761 4.371442 7.020794 14.506894
2026-03-22 1.366318 1.710360 2.198292 2.996819 4.418264 7.299902 16.118629
2026-03-29 1.312768 1.648627 2.127886 2.919049 4.346392 7.306166 16.832993
2026-04-05 1.281959 1.618318 2.103086 2.914748 4.411866 7.637060 18.989391
2026-04-12 1.266231 1.609043 2.109423 2.962680 4.583030 8.259073 23.009326
2026-04-19 1.316832 1.699156 2.274053 3.298271 5.389010 10.828191 44.016288
2026-04-26 1.262318 1.629896 2.183339 3.171254 5.194537 10.492861 43.591753
2026-05-03 1.207263 1.558469 2.087035 3.029938 4.958941 9.999448 41.242461
2026-05-10 1.177788 1.524931 2.050424 2.996059 4.959592 10.246052 46.896193